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Discussion Starter #1
Okay... I was a little off predicting PR-results... but who could have known that George would have to battle the other riders, the weather, the cobbles AND the material...

Here are my top 3 for Amstel


1) Bettini
2) Klier
3) Schleck

with Acevedo and Rebellin (despite broken rib) as probably top 10-ers.

Call me nuts but I am sticking to it :D
 

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If you don't have a Rabobank rider in the top three, start over and try again.

:D
 

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Coolhand said:
If you don't have a Rabobank rider in the top three, start over and try again.

:D
I don't know, it will be difficult for them. With the finish at the top of the Cauberg that will make it unlikely for Flecha or Freire to do anything and Boogerd's and Dekker's form has to be suspect at this point. Plus there are any number of fast finishers who would probably spank the latter two even if they arrive at the base of the Cauberg in the lead group (i.e. Valverde, Bettini, Rebellin, Astorloa). They will probably regret Kroon leaving for CSC this year.
 

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Coolhand said:
If you don't have a Rabobank rider in the top three, start over and try again.

:D
You're right, Boogerd will probably come second again. :D
 

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Don't forget Samuel Sanchez. He has been riding well recently and has always been an animator late in the Ardennes races. Plus Euskaltel really needs a win before Mayo disappoints again.
 

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rogger said:
You're right, Boogerd will probably come second again. :D
LOL! What about Dekker the Younger? Thomas? Is he even on the start list?

I would watch Flecha. Valverde would be my pick.
 

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Spunout said:
LOL! What about Dekker the Younger? Thomas? Is he even on the start list?
Thomas Dekker? Is it a time trial this year? Last year young Thomas got his arse whooped by the AGR. The wee lad isn't all too sure about his steering and the AGR being a very nervous course a-winding and turning, mmh. If you are going to look out for young Dutch riders with some panache turn your eye on Weening and Posthuma. They're not afraid to fall on their faces. :D
 

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and don't forget

Di Luca.

Valverde
Danilo
Boogered
 

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orange_julius said:
I don't know about 1st and 3rd, but Boogerd is 2nd! :)

Here's how the Unibet's betting sheet looks like:
1) _______
2) Boogerd
3) _______

I also heard from a reliable source that the TdF results sheets already have Ullrich stenciled in for #2.
You're cruel!
 

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I agree with "Odds-Maker Paolo", Il Grillo is the won to watch.

Odds by Paolo:
Paolo Bettini (Quick-Step) 1-6
Alejandro Valverde (Caisse d'Epargne-Illes Balears) 1-8
Michael Boogerd (Rabobank) 1-10
Oscar Freire (Rabobank) 1-10
Igor Astarloa (Barloworld) 1-15
Alessandro Ballan (Lampre-Fondital) 1-15
Samuel Sánchez (Euskaltel-Euskadi) 1-15
Fränk Schleck (Team CSC) 1-20
Karsten Kroon (Team CSC) 1-20
Davide Rebellin (Gerolsteiner) 1-20
Filippo Pozzato (Quick-Step) 1-25
Kim Kirchen (T-Mobile) 1-25
Leonardo Bertagnolli (Cofidis) 1-25
Thomas Dekker (Rabobank) 1-25
Jens Voigt (Team CSC) 1-25
 

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Possible winners:

Bettini
Sammy Sanchez
Thos. Dekker
Jens Voight
Igor Astarloa

Fumiyuki Beppu
Hidenori Nodera
 

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il sogno said:
Possible winners:

Bettini
Sammy Sanchez
Thos. Dekker
Jens Voight
Igor Astarloa

Fumiyuki Beppu
Hidenori Nodera

Interesting thing to see two Japanese riders on your list, although realistically I feel they are a long shot. Maybe in a few years when they accustom themselves to European racing and culture then perhaps they'll have a better chance.

I put my money on Valverde. Given he's a climber who can sprint, or a sprinter who can climb this race seems to suit him.
 

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DieselDan said:
Fleca, he's due.
flecha has been due for so long that the f,l,e,c,h & a keys on my keyboard are worn out from typing it. i don't see him pulling out this race after flanders, Pijl and Roubaix. his legs have to toasted by now or he is just superhuman.
 

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wzq622 said:
Interesting thing to see two Japanese riders on your list, although realistically I feel they are a long shot. Maybe in a few years when they accustom themselves to European racing and culture then perhaps they'll have a better chance.

I put my money on Valverde. Given he's a climber who can sprint, or a sprinter who can climb this race seems to suit him.
I believe Nodera's the champion of Japan. I suppose his chances of winning are slim, at best. :)
 
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