terzo rene said:
Alpe d'Huez.
That and the Joux-Plane (despite the downhill to the finish) are really the only stages for the climbers to have a shot, other than a long breakaway before the other shallow grade mountain finishes.
Yeah that sounds right to me. They climbed the Leukerbad the other day at such a pace that attacking was nearly pointless. It looks like that was somewhere in the area of a 5-6% climb.
Stage 10 the mountain top is 35k from the finish.
Stage 11 finish on the Peurto de Beret is 5.5% average and even looks like there may be a couple kms of flat after the summit before the finish.
Stage 15, Alp d'Huez will offer an oppurtunity for a climber.
Stage 16, Toussuire is long at 18km but only 6%.
Stage 17, Joux Plane at 8.5% but summit is 12k before finish. Guys like Ullrich and Basso would probably even concede time on Simoni, Savoldelli or Cunego on the descent.