I'll go with Freire. This is a stage suited for him since he can fly over that last climb. If he doesn't score here, jeopardizing his green jersey. He, and all the other all-rounder sprinters like Hushovd and Zabel know there's no chance in h*ll they are beating Cavendish on the pure flats anymore.
Freire can do this if he can get an escape, but will anyone want him in their break?
So yeah, some as of yet unknown collection of escapees will make it, but since I don't know who they will be, I'll pick Freire just in case he gets lucky.
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