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With the 09' s on the horizon, when do you see the prices on 08's start to fall ? Due to budgetary issues, I can't buy a new road bike until mid-September. This has allowed me to ride several nice bikes (Cannondale Synapse 5, Felt Z-35, Trek Madone 4.5...waiting to ride a Bianchi 928 with 105). So far, I like the Synapse. LBS has a really nice Synapse 3 SL in my size...I'd probably buy it right now if I could. They're asking @ $2200. At any rate, I'm sure that there will be deals in September. Any words of wisdom regarding the timing of a bike purchase for someone pretty sure of what they want to buy ?
 

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I've heard that '09 bikes in general are going to see some pretty big price increases (10-20%! :eek6: ) and as a consequence, '08s on closeout are going to fall very little, if at all, on price.

Hope to Jebus that what I've heard is wrong.
 

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I dont think this will be a year to look for any deals. I work at a shop and by all means not a high-end shop. We sell mostly hybrids. The 09 models are considerably more expensive than the 08's. Some models we have a combination of the 2008 and 2009 bikes, but the 08's are selling a lot faster than the newer 09's.
 

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Last weekend I bought an '08 Trek 2.1 for about 10% off retail. The owner of the shop told me that the '09's that had just started filtering in (mostly lower-end models) were about 20% higher and he expected about the same for the others.
 

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Its variable depending on your location too. After browsing local shops, I couldn't really find a best time to buy.

There's almost always a reason for a sale. This time of the year through July you'll start to see more and more of next year's models trickle through, so you'll see discounts. Then in fall, everyone tries to unload stock because the season is winding down. Winter is a good time because bikes are sitting there loosing value. Spring is great because you get deals on the previous year's models.

There are also reasons why bikes may not be on sale. The Tour de France is around the corner, and a LOT of people will be coming in inspired....only to ride a few miles, put it in the garage, and then finally put it up on ebay. Bike shops may take advantage and post a lot of inflated MSRP and have "10% off" sales, when in reality thats the price everyone's selling for.

Yours is a tough question. Howver, be patient, you will find a good deal. Be that guy who comes in every few weeks and looks with the occasional test ride. Sometimes they're nice enough to tell you when their company puts stuff up for sale. I got to know a few bike shops and they flat out told me to wait until the end of the month when I'll get an additional 15% off when I bought my mountain bike. However, don't be TOO patient, because you'll never buy anything either. Bikes are like computers, you can always keep waiting until the next thing comes out but you'll wait forever.
 

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2008 availability was pretty tight on most popular models too, very little close out deals this year, followed by across the board prices hikes for parts and bikes alike. Stock up now.

:thumbsup:
 

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Oct-Jan was a pretty nice time if your brand, options and size were still available. Most I saw were about 15-20% off retail prices. Then there are those special for whatever sales that have a nice discount. Just keep your eyes open for sales.
 

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Claudio14 said:
The increasing cost of Metals and materials are going to play a big factor in bike pricing in the future, as it has with many other consumer products.
Raw materials cost aren't that high, esepcially on a bicycle. Most of this has to do with the weakening dollar and inflation.
 
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Sour econ

But wouldn't the recession be a drag on prices?

I would think new bicycles fall into the camp of luxuries, something a lot of people, even veteran cyclists, can delay purchasing in hard times.

I wouldn't think this is the environment for price hikes. If that's the case, I'd wait 'em out -- I doubt they could sustain 20 percent increase.

Outlaw factor -- increased demand, thanks to Exxon/OPEC/Cheney. That could monkeywrench my theory!
 
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