pacing goals and off days?
As someone mentioned, maybe some days are just off, resulting in bad pacing.
For example, a while back I was doing consistent time trial tests, both on the road and on the Computrainer. I found that my average power would be around 285 watts, even if I started higher and finished lower. However, the more closely I zeroed in on average power as I repeated the tests, the higher my average power actually became. So, I got faster.
Let's say I did this for a few months, and then my average power became 290 watts. On any given day, though, if I'm having an off day due to fatigue, dehydration, whatever, even if I start out with "perfect" pacing, anticipating 290 watts, if I can't sustain it, power will fall off and it looks like I went out too hard. That make sense? I assume that's what happened to the guy attempting an hour record, too. I'd think that by that time, the guy would know his power abilities, and would pace closely to what he *expected* average power to be, but simply could not pull it off that day. Therefore, it looks like he went out too hard and blew up. Could this actually be fairly common? Thanks.