With an in form Basso or Ullrich I have a hard time seeing how Landis could win; but with the difficulty of this year's Giro, Basso might come into the Tour a bit flat. Ullrich could easily crash, suffer a knee injury, etc. Maybe Ullrich is past it. Landis has raised his game, so he would definitely be one of the favorites if Basso or Ullrich were not in contention.