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Looking at the race profile, the stage looks like we get a good amount of mountain stages... BUT the mountains are together and DONT go down to sea level. So the first is a stage 3 then stage 3, 2, 2,3 ..... We stay pretty much up on the hills....

So is this stage a FALSE Mountain stage?
 

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No idea, but it seems the general consensus is that the stage win and possibly the yellow jersey will come down to Valverde and Alaphilippe.
 

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I went back and looked at video of the 2004 TdF stage 10. It was an almost identical race out of Limoges into the Massif Centrale. On that day Richard Virenque attacked from way out and soloed to victory. The GC contenders all finished together in a good sized bunch fortified by their lieutenants. Thomas Voekler maintained Yellow in his storybook run.

I think Rafael Majka, or another climber far down on GC, will get the win and Polka Dots. GC contenders will mark one another to a draw. Sagan will fight like hell to stay in the bunch and in yellow, because that's the kind of guy he is.
 

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But remember there are typically bigger time gaps by stage 10. For someone to do it here it would have to be someone from a non GC team that is down AND you need teams who aren't interested in winning the stage. Can't see anyone getting a big gap if there are times like Etixx (for Alaphilippe and possible Martin) and to a lesser degree Movistar (for Valverde) targeting the stage to try to get a win and possibly yellow if it's too tough for Sagan, although it is possible Sagan finds a way to stay in the group.
 

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But remember there are typically bigger time gaps by stage 10. For someone to do it here it would have to be someone from a non GC team that is down AND you need teams who aren't interested in winning the stage. Can't see anyone getting a big gap if there are times like Etixx (for Alaphilippe and possible Martin) and to a lesser degree Movistar (for Valverde) targeting the stage to try to get a win and possibly yellow if it's too tough for Sagan, although it is possible Sagan finds a way to stay in the group.
Those guys should definitely be in the mix, but there are a number of others that could surprise as well. Trek, Orica, and AG2R (Bardet anyone) all have multiple guys that could be dangerous here, as could Maijka, or Porte, etc. It's way too early to count any one out; it's the first climbing stage, so everyone that isn't true GC threat will go for the stage win and the stage is easy enough that classics specialists with climbing ability like Sagan and Gerrans, could be in play as well. Alaphillipe looks strong in my opinion. It should be fun...

Preview: Everything you need to know about Stage 5 of 2016 Tour de France | CyclingTips
 

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I wish some of the blokes with high aspirations coming into the Tour, but poor results so far would push into the break and take a flyer to try and gain back some time on stages like this. I'm looking at you Contador and Porte.

I will probably be disappointed again.
 

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I wish some of the blokes with high aspirations coming into the Tour, but poor results so far would push into the break and take a flyer to try and gain back some time on stages like this. I'm looking at you Contador and Porte.

I will probably be disappointed again.
:thumbsup:
 
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